Archive for Investors

According to an analysis of the rental market by Citi Habitats, the average rent in Manhattan is a mind-boggling $3418 a month, surpassing the all-time high set in 2007 during a booming economy.

Tenants are feeling resentful; already staggering from a year or more of rent increases.  Many feel trapped, because it is too costly to move or stay.  This could cause renters to shift their focus from renting to buying, but that may not be an option for some due to lack of down payment or credit issues.

According to Jonathan J Miller, president of the appraisal firm Miller Samuel, “When you see rents rising, it is usually reflective of a strong economy, but that is not the case now”.  Prices are being driven up by a tight credit market that forces people to stay in the rental market and limits new construction.

Some renters will opt pay more for less – a smaller apartment for less or the same rent they’re paying now.  Even so, moving expenses, broker fees and deposits can take even that option off the table.  Others are making the decision to share, even putting up temporary walls where allowed and sacrificing a living room.

Even the outer boroughs like Queens and Brooklyn are seeing spikes in the rental prices. 

Rental averages are up in every category, with one-bedrooms rising the most, by 6.5 percent over the past year, to $2,747, according to the Citi Habitats report. Studios rose 3.6 percent, to $1,953; two-bedrooms climbed by 6.1 percent, to $3,865; and three-bedrooms rose 4 percent, to $5,107.

There are some exclusions to the average rental price.  Since the majority of New York’s rental apartments in Manhattan are rent-regulated in some fashion, they are not included in the average.  Also, smaller landlords that do not use brokers   would not be included.  Renters could find that smaller landlords are more willing to negotiate because they would rather keep a happy tenant with a good payment track record, than to have a vacancy for an extended period of time.

There seem to be few options for renters until developers start to bring more new units to the market, or until another market crash to contain the out of control rents: 

  • Stay put and try to negotiate or suck it up
  • Get a roommate or two
  • Move to another rental, neighborhood or town
  • Buy

Based on New York Times article.

This week, we released our First Quarter report for the Manhattan Residenital Rental Market.  Manhattan Residential Rentals Market Overview Q1 2012 reported here and summarized below was prepared by Miller Samuel for Prudential Douglas Elliman.

“Landlord concessions continue to be the exception, as rental demand and prices press higher”

  • Median net effective rent was $3,064 for the first quarter, 9.1% higher than $2,808 in the prior year quarter.
  • Rental price per square foot increased to $52.57, reaching its highest level since the third quarter of 2008, just as the credit crunch began.
  • The listing discount, the spread between the original list price and rent, compressed in the first quarter to 2.2% from 2.7% in the prior year quarter. This was consistent with the 14.3% increase in new rental activity over the same period.
  • Use of landlord concessions fell to 11.1% within all new rentals from 36.8% over the same period last year.
  • New rentals of studios increased 16.1%, 1-bedrooms increased 13.5%, 2-bedrooms increased 14.5% and 3-bedrooms increased 20.7%. The 4-bedroom rental market decreased 21.5% over the same period.

You’ve found a great apartment, in the right location, a great price, in a terrific building; in fact it’s almost perfect. The problem is you need an extra room, for the baby, watching late night TV while your spouse sleeps or perhaps a home office. Now what?

The answer could be a temporary wall to carve out the extra space. But it needs to be done properly and meet certain safety standards. And you may need permission from building management or the Board.

Room Dividers NY,  1Wall 2 Rooms, and  All Week Walls   are a few of the many companies the city install pressurized walls. These so–called pressurized walls are made using only a tension system can accommodate most any size or shape of room, without leaving behind screws or adhesive residue when they are removed, but look and feel like ‘real’ walls. They can be attractive and functional, offering the privacy or separation needed for an office, TV room or extra bedroom. You may even be able to mount your flat-panel TV to one.  When the wall is no longer needed, it can be removed.

New York City is aggressively enforcing a long-standing but largely ignored code requiring approval from the Department of Buildings for permanent walls. According to the City Building Department, those wishing to divide a space need to rely on bookshelves or partial walls that don’t reach the ceiling. Temporary walls must not block exit routes or interfere with ventilation or sprinkler systems, as well as meet minimum room size requirements.

This new enforcement stems from a fatal fire in 2005 in the Bronx and subsequent criminal prosecution of the landlords and two tenants on manslaughter charges. According to the city, the illegal partitions put up by the tenants had disoriented the firefighters and lead to their deaths.

Safety is of paramount importance. Egress routes, maximum travel distances as called out by the building code as well as sprinkler coverage, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors should be considered before attempting to place a temporary wall.

Inspired by New York Times Article by Marc Santora.

This week, we released our Fourth Quarter report for the Manhattan Residenital Rental Market.  Manhattan Residential Rentals Market Overview Q4 2011 reported here and summarized below was prepared by Miller Samuel for Prudential Douglas Elliman.

“Tight mortgage credit conditions continued to drive rental prices and activity higher.”

  • The median net effective rent (face rent less landlord concessions) jumped 9.5% from $2,950 to $3,121 in the same period last year. The year-over-year-gains were consistent across all rental price indicators.
  • The 2-bedroom and 3-bedroom markets outpaced their smaller counterparts,increasing 14% and 18.1% respectively over the same period.
  • New rental activity (excluding lease renewals) was up 10% from 7,217 to 7,942 in the same quarter last year.
  • About 7.4% of new leases had some form of landlord concession compared to the 40.5% in the prior year quarter. For those leases with concessions, the average amount was the equivalent of 1.2 months of free rent.
  • Days on market—the number of days from original list date to lease signing—was at its second fastest pace of 37 days in 15 years, which is when we began tracking this metric.

Today we released third quarter sales  for theHamptons/North Fork residential market.  The Hamptons/North Fork Market Overview Q3 2011 reported here and summarized below was prepared by Miller Samuel for Prudential Douglas Elliman.

“East End market conditions reflected increased activity, especially in the luxury market as listing inventory slipped”

  • There were 538 sales in the third quarter, 14.7% above 469 sales total in the same period last year, but 13.1% below the prior quarter total of 619 sales.
  • Median sales price was $700,000 in the third quarter, 12% higher than $625,000 in the prior year quarter. In the third quarter, 67.1% of all sales fell below the million dollar threshold consistent with the 65.9%, five-year average.
  • There were 2,238 listings at the end of the third quarter, 1.5% less than the 2,271 listings in the same period last year.
  • Although price indicators and sales activity increased from the same period last year, the listing discount measuring the negotiability between buyer and seller edged higher to 11.3% from 10% in the same period last year.
  • Days on market, the number of days from the last price change to contract date, increased 6 days to 170 days from 164 days in the prior year quarter.

Today we released Third Quarter report for the Manhattan residential rental market.  Manhattan Residential Rentals Market Overview Q3 2011 reported here and summarized below was prepared by Miller Samuel for Prudential Douglas Elliman.

  • Median rent with concessions (net effective monthly median rent), increased 4.9% to $2,970 from $2,831 in the prior year quarter.
  • The number of listings on the market slipped 1.9% to 4,605 in the third quarter from 4,693 in the prior year quarter. Number of new rentals declined 6.9% to 7.998 from 8,593 over the same period last year, as more tenants likely opted for renewals.
  • Approximately 8.6% of new leases had some form of landlord concession, compared to 45% in the prior year quarter.
  • Of the leases with concessions, the average amount was the equivalent of 1.2 months.
  • Days on market—the number of days from original list date to lease signing—was 58 days, nearly 3 weeks slower than the 38 day average of the prior year quarter.
  • The absorption rate for new rentals was 1.7 months, essentially unchanged from 1.6 month in the prior year quarter but down sharply from 7.7 months in the same period two years ago.

 

Beginning January 1, 2013, a new 3.8% tax on some investment income will take effect.

It was passed by Congress in 2010 with the intent of generating an estimated $210 billion to help fund President Barack Obama’s health care and Medicare overhaul plans.

It’s complicated and difficult to predict how it will affect every buyer or seller.  The National Association of Realtors ® developed a brochure with examples and different scenarios

  • ·         Effective January 1, 2013, the 3.8% tax will affect some but not all income from interest, dividends, rents and capital gains.
  • ·         Only on individuals with an adjusted gross income (AGI) above $200,000 and couples filing a joint return with more than $250,000 AGI
  • ·         Applies to the Lesser of Investment income amount in excess of the AGI amount over $200,000 or 250,000

 Read more about it here.

  • “Despite a banner month for Governor Cuomo, New Yorkers put their Trumpets down when it came to the Economy” Read all about it at Siena Research Institute
  • New York City Tax Commissioner Announces 10% Assessment Cap on Co-ops, Condos. “New York City Finance Commissioner David M. Frankel confronted his critics yesterday at a City Council Hearing in May, announcing he was placing a 10% cap on tax assessment increases for co-op and condo properties in the five Boroughs.” Read about it at Habitat.
  • AGs, Banks near $60B deal on Foreclosures. “America’s biggest mortgage servicers are closing in on a deal with federal and state officials to settle some of the thorniest foreclosure problems.” Read about it in the New York Post.
  • Manhattan rents rise with room to go higher. “The Manhattan apartment rental market has been heating up for months, and second-quarter market reports released today by residential brokerages Citi Habitats and Prudential Douglas Elliman show skyrocketing rents. Now, the question is how long the rent increases will continue.”  Read about it at the Real Deal
  • Homes Dark and Lifeless, Kept by Out-of-Towners “some Manhattan neighborhoods are assuming that vacant feeling the year round, because the people who own or rent apartments there actually live somewhere else most of the time” Read about it in the New York Times

Today we released Second Quarter sales  report for the Manhattan residential rental market.  Manhattan Residential Rentals Market Overview Q2 2011 reported here and summarized below was prepared by Miller Samuel for Prudential Douglas Elliman.

Q2 2011 Rental Highlights

  • There was an 11% decline in the number of rental listings available, as new rental activity expanded 51.5% from the second quarter last year to the same period this year.
  • A nominal 3.4% of new rental transactions received landlord concessions, averaging an equivalent of 1.2 months of free rent, compared to 60% of new rentals receiving an equivalent of 2 months free in the same period last year.
  • Tenants paid a median net rental price of $2,888 per month this quarter, as compared to $2,700 in the same quarter last year, also marking a 2.8% increase from $2,808 last quarter.
  • The average number of days from original list date to lease signing, or days on market,was 33 days, nearly 3 weeks faster than the 53 day average in this quarter last year.

 Today we released First Quarter sales  report for the Manhattan residential rental market.  Manhattan Residential Rentals Market Overview Q1 2011 reported here and summarized below was prepared by Miller Samuel for Prudential Douglas Elliman.

  • In the first quarter of 2011, 36.8% of rental transactions had a landlord concession.
  • The average concession when provided was one full month of free rent.
  • The median rental price of a Manhattan property, after considering concessions,
    if any, was $2,808, 7.4% higher than $2,616 in the prior year quarter.
  • There were 25.6% fewer new rental listings available in the first quarter, falling to
    3,874 from 5,204 in the same period last year. The amount of new rental inventory
    was essentially unchanged from the prior quarter.
  • Days on market—the number of days from original list date to lease signing—was
    40 days, less than half the 86 day average of the prior year quarter.

 Our 2001 to 2010  Manhattan Residential Sales Trend Analysis which was released Thursday and summarized below was prepared by Miller Samuel for Prudential Douglas Elliman

  • Price indicators show stability with mixed results
    • 2010 was second only to 2008 in both Median sales price and Average sales price  which was considered the peak of the Manhattan Market
    • Median sales price for 2010 was $880,000, 3.5% above the 2009 median sales price of $850,000 and more than double than the median sales price of
    • $430,000 in 2001
    • Average sales price rose 4.6% to $1,457,255 in 2010 from $1,393,001 in 2009
    • The key reason for the increase in these metrics was due to the shift in the mix towards larger apartment sales
      • 2009 referred to as the “year of the first time buyer”
      • Entry level apartment sales were the first to gain traction
    • Average square footage of an apartment sale in 2010 was 1375 square feet.
  • Number of sales above 10,000
    • There were 10,060 co-op and condo sales in 2010, the third highest one year total of the past decade
    • The 2010 total was 35.4% higher than 7,430 sales in 2009
    • Market conditions saw significant improvement in the second half of 2009
    • Listing inventories ended 2010 up 5.6% encouraging individuals who removed their listings in 2009 to re-enter the market
    • The monthly absorption rate declined to 8.6 months from 11.1 months and below the 9.3 month decade average
  • Days on Market, Listing Discount fall with rise in sales activity
    • Days on market fell below the 133 day average of the past decade in 2010
      • It took an average of 119 days to sell a property in 2010
      • Down sharply from 179 days in 2009
    • Listing discount fell to 7.1% from the ten year high of 10.2% in 2009 but well above the 4.2 average of the past decade

Our Q4 Survey of Manhattan co-op and condo sales which was released today and summarized below was prepared by Miller Samuel for Prudential Douglas Elliman

 

 

 

  

Recently with the devaluation of the dollar and the uncertainty of investments elsewhere around the world, many more foreign nationals have been interested in purchasing Manhattan residential real estate as an investment.

It is no more difficult for a foreign national to obtain a mortgage than for an American citizens buying in New York City if the residence is to be a primary residence (or at least a pied-à-terre). However,  an investor who is not prepared to pay in cash and wants to obtain a mortgage for a property that will be used as an investment (i.e. with rental income), will find it difficult or impossible to find a mortgage with low rates.

The foreign national buyer, in addition to putting together a search team including a real estate broker and a mortgage lender (if necessary), should search out a New York City attorney who may be able to help save thousands of dollars in taxes or at least alert you to the tax consequences of the purchase.

For just such an investor, I recently had the pleasure of working with Michael C. Xylas of Abrams Garfinkel Margolis Bergson, LLP. One of the partners, Neil Garfinkel, recently published an extremely informative discussion, very helpful to foreign buyers, summarized below and found in its entirety here.

Foreign investors are lured to US real estate by the stability and security of the US Real Estate market.  Generally they can enjoy a steady appreciation of US real property and without the volatility of financial markets, making the prospect of economic gain through rental income and capital growth the strongest attraction.  With relative political and economic stability in the US, there are fewer barriers to foreign purchase of US real property.  The weaker dollar and lower property prices make these investments even more attractive for foreign investors.

While easy to purchase as a foreigner, real property comes with reporting and tax consequences that must be considered.

“For the purpose of US Income Tax, a Foreigner or non resident alien (NRA) is an individual who is neither a US Citizen, a green card holder nor US Tax resident.  The test to determine if an NRA qualifies for the same status as a US citizen or resident individual is based on ‘substantial presence’.  This is defined by the number of days that one must reside in the US to achieve such status.   For the purpose of US Estate and Gift Tax, the test is more subjective, based on one’s intent of permanency in a particular country.  Importantly NRA’s are nevertheless subject to estate and gift taxes on any asset that are actually situated in the US.”

It is extremely important for foreign investors to work with a qualified team of legal, accounting and brokerage/valuation advisors who understand the rules in the foreigner’s home country as they correlate with the laws of the United States; if handled correctly, the transaction will be most suitably structured with consideration for investment, accounting and tax purposes.

Consider the Structure used to purchase the asset while planning your purchase:

  • Individual owner (Direct Ownership) and Single Member LLC
    • Real property used as a residence for personal use
    • Least complex
    • Required to file US Income Tax return
    • Estate Tax issues, Federal and possibly State
  • Shareholder in a domestic or foreign corporation
    • Domestic Corporation
      • Provides a liability shield
      • The Corporation is the taxpayer, eliminating the need for individual annual tax returns
      • Does not avoid US Federal estate tax liability
      • Two levels of tax imposed on corporation income:
        • Corporate level tax imposed
        • 30% withholding tax on dividends paid to individual owner/imposed (this could be lower based on a favorable tax treaty between the foreign investor’s country of residence and the US)
    • Foreign Corporation
      • Limits tax liability, mostly used to avoid US income tax as well as US estate tax.
      • Pass on US real property to estate beneficiaries without paying US  taxes
      • No individual US Tax return, however
        • 30% branch profits tax against the foreign corporation ‘dividend equivalent amount’ (regardless of any current distributions to the shareholders, the tax is imposed on corporation’s taxable income that is effectively connected to a US trade or business.
    • Foreign corporation which owns a US corporation
      • More complex structure, both foreign corporation and domestic US corporation are formed
      • Foreign Corporation owns the Domestic US corporation which owns the real estate asset.
      • more costly and complicated
        • Investor is provided a limited liability shield and does not file any US tax return
        • Federal estate and gift tax are not applicable
        • Branch Profits tax not applicable
        • Ultimate investor would be transparent
        • Income tax would be taxed at a less favorable rate compared to individual ownership

Our Q3 Manhattan Rental Market Overview which was released today and summarized below was prepared by Miller Samuel for Prudential Douglas Elliman

  • Median rental price was $3,000 in the third quarter, 1.7% higher than $2,950 in the prior year quarter and unchanged from the prior quarter.
  • Median rental price growth over the prior year quarter occurred in the studio and 1-bedroom markets with a 9.8% increase and 1.9% respectively.
  • The number of new rentals surged as landlords offered limited concessions for lease renewals. Rental listing inventory fell 28.1% to 4,693 apartments from 6,527 listings in the same period last year.
  • The listing discount—the percentage difference between original rental listing price to contract rental price—fell to 1.7%, its lowest level since the third quarter of 2006.
  • Days on market fell to 38 days in the third quarter, less than half the 77 days of the prior year quarter.

Our Q3 Survey of Manhattan co-op and condo sales which was released today and summarized below was prepared by Miller Samuel for Prudential Douglas Elliman

After three consecutive quarters of double digit declines in year-over-year inventory levels, the pace of the declines appears to be easing. There were 8,123 listings at the end of the third quarter, 3.2% less than 8,389 listings in the prior year quarter and essentially unchanged from the 8,157 listings in the prior quarter.

There were 2,661 sales in the third quarter, 19.3% above 2,230 sales in the prior year quarter, but 3.4% less than 2,756 sales in the prior quarter. With the increase in the number of sales came a shift in the mix of apartment sizes that sold during the period that skewed the price indicators higher.

There was a sharp decline in studio sales to 9% market share from 17% in the same period last year, but a 10% jump in 1-bedroom and 2-bedroom apartments.

Overall price indicators show gains over prior year and prior quarters, and were skewed higher by the shift to a more normal sales mix by size of apartment. The median sales price of a Manhattan apartment was $914,000, 7.5% higher than $850,000 in the prior year quarter and 1.7% above $899,000 in the prior quarter.

Properties sold more quickly in the quarter than during the same period last year. The average days on market—the number of days between the last change in list price, if any, to the contract date—was 125 days or 42 days faster than 167 days last year.

Sellers were more in sync with market value this quarter. Listing discount—the percentage difference between the list price at time of contract to the contract price—fell to 5.8% from 7.6% in the prior year quarter.